DIREKT Pilot Area Decision

Decision status: APPROVED FOR CONTROLLED PHASE 11 ENTRY — first-wave primary revalidation still required
Approved initial area: Kabwata Ward + Chilenje Ward, Kabwata Constituency, Lusaka District
Decision date: 2026-07-19 (Asia/Tokyo programme timezone)
Owner approval: Shadreck Kudzanai Musarurwa

Decision

The first controlled Zambia pilot is geographically limited to:

  • Kabwata Ward;
  • Chilenje Ward.

Explicitly excluded from the initial cohort:

  • Kamwala Ward;
  • Libala Ward;
  • Kamulanga Ward;
  • all other Lusaka wards/constituencies unless a later controlled expansion decision is recorded.

The Electoral Commission/National Assembly record identifies Kabwata Constituency’s five wards as Kamwala, Kabwata, Libala, Chilenje and Kamulanga. The selected pair creates a clear administrative boundary instead of treating the whole of Lusaka as one pilot market.

Why this boundary

The decision is based on the existing DIREKT research plus current official secondary/operational evidence:

  • Lusaka is Zambia’s largest urban/commercial concentration and reduces initial operating dispersion;
  • Kabwata Constituency has active local-government road/community investment and recognizable administrative boundaries;
  • Chilenje has an active market/community-services context;
  • the two wards allow fixed-premises, mobile and hybrid providers to be tested without a city-wide field/support burden;
  • the boundary works with DIREKT’s existing manual area/landmark/Plus Code path and does not require exact public coordinates.

This is sufficient for an owner-approved entry boundary. It is not evidence that customer demand, provider density, trust comprehension or field cost have already been validated by real participants.

Candidate comparison

Criterion Weight Kabwata + Chilenje Matero comparison Evidence/notes
Customer demand/recruitment feasibility 15 4 4 both are substantial Lusaka urban markets; exact demand remains primary-pilot evidence
Provider/category feasibility 15 4 4 urban mixed-service context; exact supply counts remain to be measured
Discovery/trust problem learning 15 4 4 both support local-service trust/location testing
Location/addressing test value 10 4 5 Matero offers a stronger later stress test; Kabwata/Chilenje is lower-dispersion first entry
Field travel/cost control 10 4 3 two adjacent wards are deliberately narrower than a full alternative constituency
Safety/operational control 10 4 3 smaller first boundary reduces field/support exposure
Authority/community reference points 5 4 4 current LCC/National Assembly records exist for both
Device/connectivity diversity 5 3 4 both require real measurement; Matero retained as later stress test
Inclusion beyond affluent/central users 5 4 5 Chilenje/Kabwata gives mixed context; Matero would broaden inclusion later
Complaint/support manageability 5 4 3 smaller selected area is easier for first-wave support
Expansion learning value 5 4 5 Matero is retained as second-area comparator
Weighted total 100 79/100 78/100 directional secondary-evidence score, not a statistical result

Alternative-area decision

Matero Constituency is the selected comparison/expansion candidate, not the first entry area.

Official sources describe active civic investment plus water/sanitation, drainage/flood and service-access challenges. That makes Matero valuable for a later robustness/inclusion test, but it would broaden the first pilot’s operational burden before DIREKT has measured verification, support and incident capacity.

Pilot boundary behavior

  • customer invitations require declared residence/use in Kabwata or Chilenje or a service need occurring there;
  • providers must actively serve at least one approved ward;
  • fixed, mobile and hybrid providers are eligible;
  • private provider bases remain private;
  • customer location permission is optional;
  • manual area/landmark/Plus Code discovery remains available at all times;
  • public precise coordinates are allowed only for explicitly consented customer-facing fixed premises;
  • service-area matching near the edge may include a provider located elsewhere only when that provider explicitly serves an approved ward.

Cohort and support boundary

  • maximum provider cohort: 24;
  • maximum customer cohort: 60;
  • three invite waves, each capped at 8 providers and 20 customers;
  • support hours: Monday–Friday 08:00–16:00 CAT; Saturday 09:00–12:00 CAT;
  • field-verification claims remain disabled in Wave 1 until a Zambia-based field operator/lead is appointed and trained.

See ../phase11/PHASE11A_REAL_PILOT_ENTRY_DECISION_2026-07-19.md.

Revalidation and reversal conditions

The boundary must be narrowed, changed or stopped when primary evidence shows any of the following:

  • insufficient provider supply (fewer than 3 eligible discoverable providers in a category after supply onboarding);
  • support or verification queues exceed approved thresholds;
  • travel/safety burden is not manageable;
  • device/connectivity conditions materially invalidate the current workflow;
  • participant recruitment is strongly biased or excludes intended provider pathways;
  • legal/privacy/provider approval does not permit the intended data flow;
  • another area materially outperforms the selected boundary on verified operational evidence.

Evidence sources

Current official sources used for entry selection include:

  • Zambia Statistics Agency 2022 Census and population/social statistics resources;
  • Lusaka City Council Kabwata and Matero constituency/community records;
  • Electoral Commission of Zambia / National Assembly records identifying the five Kabwata Constituency wards;
  • existing DIREKT secondary research and location architecture.

Approval gate result

The geography decision gate is cleared for controlled-pilot entry preparation.

It does not clear the separate gates for DPC registration/overseas transfer authorization, qualified legal review, participant consent, real provider recruitment or primary validation. The first real cohort must revalidate this choice and may trigger a NARROW or area-change decision.